November 3, 2008 - 18:45

Pindell Report releases final Election Day predictions

The Pindell Report, Politicker.com's political and campaign forecast, has released its final projections for Election Day. Using polling, historical and demographic trends, tracking campaign visits and spending, The Pindell Report ranks races in terms of their competitiveness and their status as either a toss-up or leaning or likely voting in a particular way.

In California, The Pindell Report's final breakdown is as follows:

PRESIDENT:

Safe Democratic. Democrat Barack Obama should have no trouble capturing California, ripe with electoral votes.

U.S. HOUSE:

4th Congressional District: Leans Republican. This seat has turned into a much more difficult hold for Republicans than the party had initially expected, though Republican state Sen. Tom McClintock enters Tuesday with a slight edge over Democratic challenger Charlie Brown.

11th Congressional District: Likely Democratic. Republicans had high hopes for former state legislator Dean Andal, but he never gained traction. In an economically struggling district hard-hit by foreclosures, Democratic incumbent Jerry McNerney, who unseated a Republican in 2006, appears poised to retain the seat.

NATIONAL OUTLOOK:

The Pindell Report estimates Barack Obama will become the next president receiving at least 353 electoral votes tomorrow compared to John McCain's 174 electoral votes. The only toss-up state is Missouri. For the U.S. Senate, Pindell predicts that Democrats will pick up either 7 or 8 seats and will fall short of the 60 seats they need to end a filibuster. The only Senate race viewed as too close to call is in Minnesota. In the House, Democrats are poised to pick up at least 17 seats with 6 additional seats viewed as toss ups.

PINDELL REPORT'S COMPLETE FORECAST:

U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Governor | Presidential Swing States

 

Politicker Staff can be reached via email at noreply@politicker.com.

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