Kentucky: Conway

November 4, 2009 - 12:29 pm

Polls, polls, polls...

Some crosstab madness from the SUSA polling goodness yesterday:

First, on the Republican primary side

Rand Paul- 35
Trey Grayson- 32
Other/Undecided- 33

Gender-wise, Paul leads 40-32 among Male Liberty Patriots, Grayson leads 33-29 among females.

Among young voters, Paul had a crazy-high advantage in the last SUSA poll, but now trails 43-40. Odd.

Among conservatives (69% of respondents), Paul leads 39-31, but is losing huge among moderates. This falls more in line with what I think will happen (the last SUSA was the opposite, if I recall correctly), as Rand Paul is much much much more conservative (both economically and socially) than Trey Grayson.

Regionally, Grayson takes Western KY and Louisville, while Paul takes Eastern, Central and Northern KY.

October 30, 2009 - 04:51 pm

Mongiardo is campaigning on your dime

Dan Mongiardo's campaign royally fucked up today (see here, here and here), and the Conway campaign is now pouncing. Here's the video and press release... enjoy:

Daniel Mongiardo Caught Tricking Taxpayers on Halloween!

"I know it's Halloween Eve, but this is SCARY! What does Mongiardo have to hide?" says Conway Campaign.

(Louisville - KY) Today, after Lt. Gov. Dan Mongiardo sent out an official media advisory (see attached PDF) using state email and letterhead from the Office of the Lt. Governor, he barred Conway Campaign staffers from attending the events and kicked them out of the meetings.

The events were touted as places where Dan Mongiardo would discuss health care reform and proposed legislation.

October 30, 2009 - 01:23 pm

Mongiardo issues press release, then bars press from event

So, a little update on Jake's earlier post about Mongiardo today.

As he said, Mongiardo issued a press release to everyone in Kentucky announcing that he would speak about healthcare reform in London and Lexington today. However, they kicked out a Conway staffer at the London event, saying that it was a private event, even though they issued press releases and used state resources to put this out.

Well, I decided to attend the Lexington event, as I recieved the press release too and am a member of the dirty librul blogger press.

As soon as I stuck my head in the door, a Mongiardo campaign staffer saw me and whispered to a woman named Angela Underwood.

October 21, 2009 - 02:01 pm

Conway campaign smacks Mongiardo upside the head

Check out the juicy juice from their new press release.

On Mongiardo's last place in fundraising and the polls (to Conway, Grayson, and Paul):
“It is hard to spin being dead last. They can spin, blame and point fingers, but the fact remains that Dan Mongiardo is last in money and last in polls,” added Riddle. "One must wonder when the Mongiardo campaign gets dizzy from all their spinning."
Ouch.
Mongiardo has spent weeks hiding from the press because he refuses to answer questions regarding what he said about the Governor. It is time for Mongiardo to “man up” as the Herald Leader editorialized.
Yep.
80% of Jack Conway’s fundraising comes from Kentuckians.

October 5, 2009 - 03:29 pm

Rasmussen Poll: very bad news for Dan Mongiardo

Not only is Trey Grayson kicking his ass, but so is Rand Paul?
Grayson- 44%Mongiardo- 37%
Paul- 43%Mongiardo- 38%
Prettttty lame, Milhouse.
Meanwhile, Jack Conway fares much better:
Grayson- 40%Conway- 40%
Paul- 38%Conway- 42%
We all anxiously await Kim Geveden's spin on this one...

September 30, 2009 - 10:11 pm

Mongiardo No Show and the magic of editing

So Dan and Steve were scheduled for a joint-appearance at an event this morning in Lexinton, but Dan Mongiardo seems to have said "fuck it all" and bailed. Instead, he went to Chicago. WKYT has that story plus the latest Mongiardo secret tapes:

Mongiardo's campaign insists the tapes are cobbled together soundbites of Dan talking, all the phrases and words taken out of context and then mashed together to appear to state nasty things about Steve. But beyond that, they have no comment.

Steve Beshear's also chalking Dan's harsh words up to the miracles of modern sound design.

The Hill -- a revered national political news outlet -- seems to accept the words and intent in those tapes

September 2, 2009 - 09:10 pm

Take Your Job And Shove It

You know, I think I've been pretty hard on Jack Conway. Compared his Q1 fundraising to W declaring "Mission Accomplished"? Check. Called his press operation a one-trick pony? Check. Ripped him up and down for a weak response to an opponent's contrived reaction to his use of profanity? Check.

The list goes on; the truth is, though, that Conway, for all of his mistakes, has got nothing on Daniel Mongiardo in the "sucking at life" department. He hasn't had to for a couple of months, either, but I'm glad to see that period is coming to an end.

August 25, 2009 - 08:27 am

You Either Die A Hero, Or You LIve Long Enough To See Yourself Become The Villan

Looks like everybody has had their say already on an excellent little blurb from the Senate Guru on our Senate Primary, but I just had to step in.

Namely, I feel like I may have overreacted last week when I pulled down a post comparing Jack and his $1.3 million fundraising quarter to George W. Bush declaring mission accomplished.

Instead, I see that all of my worst fears about the Conway campaign have been confirmed-- they're not paying attention. They're not paying attention, and their loss, in the primary or the general, could set those of us with the stones to be real Democrats in Kentucky orignonal back a decade or more.

August 18, 2009 - 07:42 pm

Mission Accomplished

All my rage aside, what we're seeing right now is the fall of one of Kentucky's last hopes at a unifying figure in Democratic politics. Organizing in the wreckage of the old KDP machine has always been a dicey proposition at best, filled with factions and cultural sensitivities and marriages of convenience to candidates that don't actually represent anything you stand for but that you desperately want to win anyway (Hello, Robin Webb). There's always a tenuous alliance, always a spurned consultant holding his network out of the fight like some third world gangster.

Jack Conway was supposed to be able to rise above that, not just to the Senate, but to the White House.

August 8, 2009 - 11:18 am

Thank God for Swing Voters

I'm not going to link to him because I don't take him seriously, but Shack bird-dogged a link and a poll result (or more appropriately, was given it by the Mongiardo camp; why no love here, guys? I feel like I'd be open to considering your line on stuff, especially after the ineptitude that Team Conway showed this week; moving on...) that I need to break down.

SUSA polled for WHAS-TV in 15 counties (assuming the Louisville media market); we don't know when the poll went in the field, or how many voters they called. Only two questions were asked that anybody's bothered to publish:

A new Survey USA poll asked people in the Louisville television market.