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Leaning Republican, or a Democratic pickup opportunity?
By Jessica Alaimo, PolitickerME.com ReporterMaine’s 2008 U.S. Senate race is leaning to the Republican side, according to a recent analysis by the Cook Political Report.
Or, as Democratic challenger Tom Allen’s campaign interprets it, the seat is one of the top five Democratic pickup opportunities.
Allen, a current U.S. Representative, is challenging incumbent Sen. Susan Collins, and the race promises to be a heated one.
The Allen campaign’s analysis of the report came in a mass e-mail soliciting donations today.
“They’re not wrong,” said Jennifer Duffy, senior editor for the Cook Political Report. The race is ranked No. 5 in the rankings for possible Democratic pick-ups. But, “Virginia is the only race close to a done deal for Democrats.”
Often Cook’s reports are spun for political gain, Duffy said, and fundraising solicitations, in general, “by in large are an act of fiction.”
The Cook report was based on Collins’ polling, political environment in the state and other analysis.
Other incumbent Republicans up for re-election “would certainly envy her numbers,” Duffy said.
Valerie Martin, campaign manager for Allen, acknowledged Wednesday that Cook’s numbers still read as the seat leaning Republican.
Martin said her analysis of the race came from an interview Charlie Cook, editor of the report, gave to Time magazine.
The article read: “Overall, Cook predicts a Democratic pickup of up to five seats with Virginia, Colorado, New Hampshire, New Mexico and Maine at the top of his list.” Cook said of Collins. She “is pretty soft and Allen’s a pretty formidable opponent.”
The Oct. 15 Time article, “The Republicans’ Big Senate Fear”, explored the possibility of Democrats gaining a filibuster-proof majority in 2008.
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