October 30, 2008 - 14:51
News: Maine

House race ratings: Androscoggin County

PolitickerME.com has evaluated all 151 state House ratings by looking at the candidates, their histories and past results. We also spoke with people close to the process.

Click on the links for a county-by-county assessment:

ANDROSCOGGIN COUNTY | AROOSTOOK COUNTY | CUMBERLAND COUNTY | FRANKLIN COUNTY | HANCOCK COUNTY | KENNEBEC COUNTY | KNOX COUNTY | LINCOLN COUNTY | OXFORD COUNTY | PENOBSCOT COUNTY | PISCATAQUIS COUNTY | SAGADAHOC COUNTY | SOMERSET COUNTY | WALDO COUNTY | WASHINGTON COUNTY | YORK COUNTY

Click here for an overall evaluation.

 

Androscoggin County

House District 68 – Safe Republican: Moderates do well in this district, and incumbent Michael Beaulieu (R-Auburn) fits the bill. His Franco name doesn’t hurt, either. He won his first term by 300 votes in 2006, and will likely do well in his race against Alan Bradford Knowles (D-Auburn).

H.D. 69 – Tossup: Incumbent Deborah Simpson (D-Auburn) is termed-out and running for the Senate. A four-way race has developed between Brian Bolduc (D-Auburn), Dana Coffin (R-Auburn), Belinda Gerry (I-Auburn) and Richard Ness (I-Auburn). Bolduc and Gerry are former legislators. Last year, the district had one of the lowest turnouts in the district. The Democrats have put $2,700 into the race, but it’s a wacky contest where we don’t dare make a prediction.

H.D. 70 – Leans Democrat: After one term, incumbent Mark Samson (D-Auburn) is calling it quits, leaving an open race between Bruce Bickford (R-Auburn) and Penthea Burns (D-Lewiston). Samson won by just over 100 votes in 2006, and both Bickford and Burns are strong candidates. Burns has the advantage, as enrollment in the district leans Democratic, but this will be a good one to watch.

H.D. 71 – Safe Democrat: Incumbent Elaine Makas (D-Lewiston) left the seat to run for the Senate, where she lost in the primary. Michel Lajoie (D-Lewiston) is running unopposed.

H.D. 72 – Safe Democrat: Incumbent Mike Carey (D-Lewiston) is up against James Siglow, Jr. (R-Lewiston). This district encompasses downtown Lewiston, a Democratic stronghold.

H.D. 73 – Safe Democrat: Incumbent Richard Wagner (D-Lewiston) is unopposed.

H.D. 74 – Safe Democrat: Incumbent Margaret Craven (D-Lewiston) is running for the Senate. Michael Dumas (R-Lewiston) and termed-out Sen. Peggy Rotundo (D-Lewiston) are vying for her seat. In Lewiston, no one defeats Peggy.

H.D. 75 – Leans Democrat: Incumbent Scott Lansley (R-Sabattus) is leaving, and Stacey Dostie (D-Sabattus) and William Clarke (R-Greene) are vying for the seat. Clarke has name recognition as he ran for governor and the U.S. Senate as an independent, and holds very conservative views, which may hurt him in this district which is split registration-wise. The Democratic Party has invested $2,700 in the race on Dostie’s behalf. This may be a key pick-up for the Democrats, but it will be a close one.

H.D. 81—Leans Republican: Incumbent Gary Knight (R-Livermore Falls) faces Peggy Dwyer (D-Livermore). This is traditionally a Democratic seat, but Knight is a strong incumbent and has the backing of organized labor in the area. Dwyer got a late start in the race. It will be a tough race for Knight, but he should prevail.

H.D. 96 – Likely Democrat: Incumbent Larry Sirois (D-Turner) is up against Joan Bryant-Deschenes (R-Turner), the incumbent he unseated by 300 votes in 2006. The district favors the Republicans, but Sirois reportedly has hit every door twice. As far as unseated incumbents making a comeback, history is not on their side.

H.D. 104 – Leans Republican: Incumbent Robert Berube (R-Lisbon) is leaving the seat, opening it up for Dale Crafts (R-Lisbon) and Deborah Danuski (D-Lisbon). Both candidates are known in the community, Crafts as a businessman and a councilor, and Danuski as a school board member. Crafts appears to have the advantage at this point, but it will be a close one.

H.D. 105 – Leans Republican: Incumbent Michael Vaughan (R-Durham) faces David Van Wie (D-New Gloucester). The Democrats have targeted this seat, but the Republicans are feeling good about their ability to hold onto it. Both parties have made independent expenditures. While it will be a tough race for Vaughan, this is a Republican seat that he will likely hold on to.

 

 

Jessica Alaimo is a PolitickerME.com Reporter and can be reached via email at noreply@politicker.com.

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