May 21, 2008 - 13:13
News: Nevada

Ron Paul has an angel

Ron Paul has found an angel in Nevada who is offering to sponsor the state GOP convention, part two.

This is an interesting problem for the Nevada Republican Party. If they don't host the rest of the convention soon, odds are lawsuits will start to fly from disenfranchised Revolutionaries.

If they show up for the rest of the convention, there is the possibility that it will never begin because of quorum concerns. The Ron Paul group had a well-organized team with impressive numbers. They were a simple majority, but did not have a supermajority. For the delegates other than the Ron Paul supporters, there will be no motivation to take time and a few hundred dollars to fly to Reno to help support an outcome that you have already voted against. If there is no quorum, the state GOP is off the hook. But could the Ron Paul campaign turn the roughly 100 delegates they need for a quorum? It's possible. Improbable, but possible.

The irony meter will go off the chart in Reno with this scenario: The state GOP agrees to the convention, they fall 50 votes short of a quorum, and the Revolution is screaming that they have been disenfranchised by a minority of the delegates. With almost no possibility of serious follow-up lawsuits since the party went along with dates suggested by the campaign, this would get the state GOP off the hook for their convention commitment. But can the Revolution find those 100 delegates? It is a gamble on both sides.

I have made it perfectly clear in this column that my prediction is that this game will end, and will end without Dr. Paul being the nominee. At best he is an improved version of Ross Perot, and that is if he decides to take on an independent campaign for the general election.

Although the end of the game is inevitable, the next few moves should be fun to watch. My prediction is that the state GOP takes the bait and ends up attending the convention finale. I doubt the Revolution would have come up with dates and the money without a plan. One thing is definite, the trick aces on both sides of this fight will prove to be good entertainment either way.

Wally Edge can be reached via email at noreply@politicker.com.

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