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New Hampshire: Andy Smith

February 22, 2009 - 07:39 am
NEWS FEED: Blue Hampshire

Granite Staters Ahead of State Pols on Seat Belt Law

By Dean Barker

In my last post on this, I wrote:
Obligatory seat belt use in cars is a societal norm in the United States of America.  At some time in the future a tipping point will be reached where it will seem freakish to a majority of Granite Staters that we are behind that curve.
Well, is two-thirds a tipping point?  Those are the numbers Andy Smith is citing (FWIW) in a new poll:
This month's poll showed that 64 percent of New Hampshire adults support a mandatory seatbelt law. Democrats, women and folks who are relatively new to the state are most likely to back such a new law; Republicans, men, folks under 29, families that make less than $30,000 and the unmarried are most likely to oppose, according to an analysis by the Survey Center's Andy Smith and Tracy Fowler.

Read More at Blue Hampshire >
There have been 22 comments posted in response to this story.

February 2, 2009 - 06:12 am
NEWS FEED: Blue Hampshire

Stoopidico

By Dean Barker

Can you count the stoopid in this Politico piece? Here's my count:

1. Unnamed "Democrats" defining the narrative:

Democrats said Sunday that they were willing to accept Lynch's appointment of a Republican so long as the new senator is either a caretaker who would step aside in 2010, leaving an open seat, or someone who lacks statewide appeal.

2. Andy Smith's customary GOP handicapping early in the cycle:

"If Gregg stays in the Senate and runs in 2010, he likely wins," said Andrew Smith, director of the University of New Hampshire's Survey Center.

3. A state that voted by almost 10 points for Obama, and with decisive victories for Democrats Shaheen, Hodes, Shea-Porter and even Lynch would looove another Republican, and minority-member senator in the Senate:

Lynch, a moderate with approval ratings north of 70 percent, could bolster his image of staying above partisan politics by picking a Republican or independent for the seat.

Read More at Blue Hampshire >
There have been 28 comments posted in response to this story.

January 30, 2009 - 08:58 pm
NEWS FEED: Blue Hampshire

Everybody Knows John Lynch

By Dean Barker

This Hill article is laugh-out-loud funny.

Two unnamed Republicans who pretend to speak for Gregg know that Lynch will appoint a Republican to Gregg's seat.

Fergus Cullen and Andy Smith know that Lynch will appoint a Democrat.

Will there be a second piece in which Democrats tell us what they know John Lynch will do?

I'll start. Governor? Follow your bliss. If you put in a Democrat, we win in 2010.  If you put in a placeholder Republican, we win in 2010.

And if Gregg isn't tapped by Obama, he is politically damaged by the episode, and it helps us win in 2010.

Read More at Blue Hampshire >
There have been 29 comments posted in response to this story.

Wed, 12/17/2008 - 16:35

Analysts give early edge to Hodes over Shea-Porter in Senate challenge

By Brian Lawson, PolitickerNH.com Reporter

Political analysts say that it is a "tough call" to determine which Granite State congressman would be a better candidate to challenge U.S. Sen. Judd Gregg (R-Rye) in a 2010 race.

Reports over the past week have mentioned that U.S. Rep.

Read More >
There have been 35 comments posted in response to this story.
Mon, 11/03/2008 - 19:07

Analysts offer last-minute predictions

By Brian Lawson, PolitickerNH.com Reporter

Several New Hampshire political analysts have offered their predictions for Election Day.

All the analysts cited say the Democrats are poised to win the congressional races in New Hampshire and will keep control of the State House.

 

Dean Spiliotes: NHPoliticalCapital.com

President: Obama wins New Hampshire

Senate: Shaheen wins

NH-1: Shea-Porter wins

NH-2: Hodes wins

 

Andy Smith: Director of UNH Survey Center

There have been 40 comments posted in response to this story.
Mon, 11/03/2008 - 10:36

Smith predicts Democratic sweep

By Brian Lawson, PolitickerNH.com Reporter

Andy Smith, director of the UNH Survey Center, is predicting that the Democratic federal candidates will win in New Hampshire.
 
"Barack Obama looks to win New Hampshire by a comfortable margin on Tuesday. In the race for U.S. Senate, Shaheen should win a narrow victory over incumbent John Sununu," Smith writes in his latest poll. "In Congressional races, incumbent Paul Hodes is predicted to win New Hampshire's 2nd District and incumbent Carol Shea-Porter looks to pull out a narrow victory in the 1st District."
 

There have been 49 comments posted in response to this story.
Sat, 10/25/2008 - 12:44

Globe poll shows Dems lead in major races

By Brian Lawson, PolitickerNH.com Reporter

A new poll has the major Democratic candidates leading their Republican opponents in New Hampshire.

A Boston Globe poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire's Survey Center, has former Gov. Jeanne Shaheen (D-Madbury) beating U.S. Sen. John Sununu (R-Waterville Valley) 49 percent to 36 percent. In the 1st Congressional District U.S. Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D-Rochester) is leading former U.S. Rep.

There have been 35 comments posted in response to this story.
Wed, 10/15/2008 - 23:27

Analysts call ‘Joe the plumber’ victor of debate

By Brian Lawson, PolitickerNH.com Reporter

DURHAM--Political analysts gathered at a debate forum proclaimed "Joe the plumber" the star of the last presidential debate.

The analysts also said that McCain had his best debate performance in the first half of the debate.

"The winner tonight is clearly Joe the plumber," Steve Marchand, former mayor of Portsmouth, told the crowd.

Rich Killion, a Republican consultant, said that McCain used the "Joe the plumber" line because the Arizona Senator wanted to appeal to middle-class voters.

There have been 36 comments posted in response to this story.
Wed, 10/15/2008 - 20:13

Analysts offer pre-debate thoughts

By Brian Lawson, PolitickerNH.com Reporter

DURHAM--Before the last presidential debate New Hampshire political analysts discussed the previous two debates and their expectations for the debate.

Andy Smith, Director of the University of New Hampshire Survey Center, might have summed-up the evening best when argued that "everything political scientists shows is that debates make little to no difference."

There have been 34 comments posted in response to this story.
Mon, 09/29/2008 - 08:40

Smith: N.H. ‘turning blue’

By Brian Lawson, PolitickerNH.com Reporter

Andy Smith thinks that the Granite State is turning into a Democratic state, but expects Republicans to make gains in November.

Smith, the University of New Hampshire Survey Center's director, said at a presentation in Dover that economic trends and demographic changes have shifted the state from the Republican column into a battleground state and will eventually result in the state becoming a Democratic stronghold.

There have been 36 comments posted in response to this story.