November 3, 2008 - 17:03

Pindell Report makes final predictions for Election Day

The Pindell Report, Politicker.com's political and campaign forecast, has released its final projections for Election Day. Using polling, historical and demographic trends, tracking campaign visits and spending, The Pindell Report ranks races in terms of their competitiveness and their status as either a toss-up or leaning or likely voting in a particular way.

In Pennsylvania, The Pindell Report's final break down is as follows:

PRESIDENT:

Leans Democratic. Republican John McCain's late play for the state is logical: Democrat Barack Obama did have problems in a number of the swing areas in the state during his primary against U.S. Sen. Hillary Clinton. But while McCain might be able to make inroads in Southwestern Pennsylvania, this state is decided by suburban areas outside Philadelphia like Bucks, Montgomery, and Delaware counties and for them Sarah Palin, Scranton-native Joe Biden, and the economy might have permanently taken this state out of contention.

3rd Congressional District: Leans Democratic. Republican incumbent Phil English is fighting an unfair fight given the Democratic wave. This is a change election and he will be changed. That said his own internal polls show him up against Democrat Kathy Dahlkemper. This one will be close and it is the 20th most competitive race in the county.

10th Congressional District: Leans Democratic. Freshman Democrat Chris Carney has done all the right things this fall and is aided by a good Democratic year. He should defeat Republican challenger Chris Hackett.

11th Congressional District: Leans Republican. This race has become less interesting as the year went on. Longtime Democratic U.S. Rep. Paul Kanjorski could never get off playing defense against Republican challenger Lou Barletta.

12th Congressional District: Leans Democratic. If John Murtha would have just kept his mouth shut, we wouldn't even be tracking this race. He is lucky that he made his comments slamming his own "racist" constituents was made in a big Democratic year or he could be in serious trouble. This race is the 28th most competitive in the country.

NATIONAL OUTLOOK:

The Pindell Report estimates Barack Obama will become the next president receiving at least 353 electoral votes tomorrow compared to John McCain's 174 electoral votes. The only toss-up state is Missouri. For the U.S. Senate, Pindell predicts that Democrats will pick up either 7 or 8 seats and will fall short of the 60 seats they need to end a filibuster. The only Senate race viewed as too close to call is in Minnesota. In the House, Democrats are poised to pick up at least 21 seats with 6 seats viewed as toss ups.

PINDELL REPORT'S COMPLETE FORECAST:

U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Governor | Presidential Swing State

Politicker Staff can be reached via email at noreply@politicker.com.

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