January 5, 2009 - 10:22

If Gerlach vacates seat, Roggio gives himself a 50-50 chance of running again

In the early hours of Election Day in November, it looked like Democrat Bob Roggio had a fighting chance of upsetting incumbent U.S. Rep. Jim Gerlach (R-West Pikeland). The returns from the bluer, Montgomery County parts of the 6th Congressional District were coming in early, and Roggio was sporting a lead in a race few gave him a chance of winning.

But Gerlach did well in Chester and Berks Counties, and once again narrowly defeated his Democratic opponent in the increasingly Democratic district.

Now, with Gerlach openly considering a run for governor in 2010, Roggio, who lost by four points, is one of many Democrats seeing an opportunity to capture the seat that year. If Gerlach does not seek reelection, Roggio said, there's a good chance he'll make another run at the seat.

"Right now, I'd give it a 50-percent chance," Roggio told PolitickerPA.com today, adding that he would also consider another bid against Gerlach. "But I haven't done much thinking about that. I haven't made any decisions about 2010. I do think the Democrats would have an excellent chance."

Dan Hirschhorn is a PolitickerPA.com Reporter and can be reached via email at noreply@politicker.com.

Related topics: Jim Gerlach, Bob Roggio, PA-6

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