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About the Pindell Report


America's most dynamic and deeply reported political forecast.

Last Updated: November 3, 2008


Safe
Democratic
#999
OR-5
Darlene Hooley (D)
is not running for re-election
Last Week's Rank: #999

2008 Candidates

Kurt Schrader (D)

Former State House Representative 

Mike Erickson (R)

Transportation Executive

About the Race

CANDIDATES: Democratic U.S. Rep. Darlene Hooley is retiring after six terms. The Democratic candidate is Kurt Schrader, a former state senator and representative. The Republican candidate is Mike Erickson, a transportation executive and the 2006 nominee. In 2006, Hooley captured 54 percent of the vote. George W. Bush won the district in 2004 with 50 percent

RACE PROFILE: The battle for this Salem-area district became markedly more competitive when Hooley, a five-term incumbent, announced her retirement earlier this year. Schrader, a Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee favorite, emerged as the party nominee in the May primary. On the Republican side, Erickson emerged the victory in a bitter primary against former GOP state party chairman Kevin Mannix. Erickson, who came up 30,000 votes short in his 2006 challenge to Hooley, is badly damaged heading into the general election phase of the campaign with news stories circulating that he allegedly paid for a woman he impregnated to get an abortion.

Race Updates

September 26, 2008 - 9:29 pm — Likely Democratic — #56

As PolitickerOR.com reports, Erickson has won the endorsement of Republican state Sen. Frank Morse.

September 25, 2008 - 12:09 am — Likely Democratic — #56

Schrader and Erickson debated Sept. 22 debate over immigration, PolitickerOR.com reports.

September 18, 2008 - 11:32 pm — Likely Democratic — #53

As PolitickerOR.com reports, Erickson released two new television advertisements on Sept. 17 taking on Schrader on taxes.

September 15, 2008 - 6:33 pm — Leans Democratic — #41
As PolitickerOR.com reports, Schrader and Erickson debated on Sept. 12 on topics ranging from health care to education to energy.

September 11, 2008 - 4:56 pm — Leans Democratic — #41
Schrader released his first television advertisement of the cycle on Sept. 9. The ad spotlights his plans to work for solutions in Congress.

August 19, 2008 - 11:56 am — Leans Democratic — #41

U.S. Sen. Gordon Smith tells PolitickerOR.com that Erickson has "some special issues," referencing the news that Erickson has been less than straightforward about a 2004 trip he took to Cuba.

In an Aug. 19 press conference, Erickson calls an Oregonian story alleging he was dishonest about a 2004 trip to Cuba a "smear tactic."

August 18, 2008 - 6:54 pm — Leans Democratic — #41

Is there anyone who doesn't think this race is quickly slipping off the radar screen for Republicans? If the May story involving Erickson allegedly paying for an ex-girlfriend to get an abortion wasn't bad enough, this weekend comes news that the businessman has been less than honest about a 2004 trip he took to Cuba for what he says was humanitarian reasons. One smart strategist told us today that Erickson is "toast," adding that Schrader hasn't made a significant mistake that would give Republicans an opening. We agree. Erickson is going to have his own money to spend in this race, but money can only get you so far.

August 7, 2008 - 2:46 pm — Leans Democratic — #39

As PolitickerOR.com reports, Schrader will not be attending the Democratic National Convention.

July 24, 2008 - 8:40 pm
The conservative policy advocacy organization Freedom's Watch has targeted Schrader in a second round of robo-calls to 5th Congressional District voters, PoltickerOR.com reports.

July 16, 2008 - 12:18 am

Fundraising reports show Schrader taking in around $405,000, including a $100,000 personal loan, in second-quarter funds, and having approximately $231,000 in the bank. Erickson raised roughly $1 million dollars, including a $974,000 personal loan, and has around $400,000 in cash on hand.

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