
Last Updated: November 3, 2008
U.S. Senator
Arizona
U.S. Senator
Illinois
For those who enjoyed Florida in 2000 or Ohio in 2004, meet Nevada in 2008. A pure toss-up state, a mix of demographic issues, booming population, foreclosure crisis in the south, moral issues of importance in the north, collectivist unions that matter and Libertarian feelings that matter this is a battleground state in the battleground West.
This is also a state with power. It boasts both the U.S. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and National Republican Senatorial Committee chair John Ensign. It has it's own unique third rail issue: no storing of nuclear waste at Yucca Mountain. It also has a growing Hispanic population.
Never before has Nevada played such a prominent role in presidential politics. It played a significant role in the presidential primary season. Their caucus were fourth in line and saw record turnout, if not a little chaos also. The candidates continue to visit not just heavily populated Las Vegas, but also up north.
Nevada is a divided state between the growing Las Vegas's Clark County and the Republican rural areas and Washoe County. The key to victory might be in the Las Vegas suburbs like Henderson.
While Nevada has never received as much attention before it does have a good track record at predicting winners. With only one exception (1976) Nevada has voted for the presidential winner every time since 1912.
November 7, 2008 - 9:43 am — Leans Democratic — #10
Obama won the state 55 percent to McCain’s 43 percent, according to the Nevada Secretary of State.
October 30, 2008 - 11:50 am — Leans Democratic — #3
Obama leads 52 percent to 45 percent in Nevada in the latest CNN/Time poll.
October 29, 2008 - 1:46 pm — Leans Democratic — #3
Obama has a 4-point lead in Nevada, 50 percent to 46 percent, in the latest Rasmussen Reports poll. In the previous survey, released a week and a half ago, the Democrat had a 5-point point advantage.
Obama's margin is larger in the latest Associated Press poll of the state, in which he leads 52 percent to 40 percent.
A new Suffolk University poll in Nevada shows Obama leading 50 percent to 40 percent.
October 27, 2008 - 12:12 pm — Leans Democratic — #3
A new Reuters/Zogby survey of the state shows Obama leading 48.2 percent to 44 percent with 7.8 percent undecided.
October 23, 2008 - 12:42 pm — Leans Democratic — #4
The latest CNN/Time poll in Nevada shows Obama leading by 5 points, 51 percent to 46 percent.
October 22, 2008 - 12:51 pm — Leans Democratic — #4
In early and absentee voting in Clark County so far, Democrats have outnumbered Republicans 2-to-1, according to USA Today. More than a third of the country's voters are expected to vote before Election Day. In the last two cycles, early voting nationwide favored Republicans; experts said this was because early voters tended to be older and wealthier.
October 21, 2008 - 12:28 pm — Leans Democratic — #4
A new Politico/InsiderAdvantage survey of the state shows the candidates tied at 47 percent. In Washoe County, the state's second most populous, Obama is leading by 10 points, 50 percent to 40 percent. President Bush won Washoe in 2000 and 2004.
October 20, 2008 - 4:34 pm — Leans Democratic — #4
CHANGE FROM TOSS UP TO LEANS DEMOCRATIC
In recent years Nevada has been a bellweather. With the high rate of foreclosures in Southern Nevada combined with how senstitive this state is to the economy and how much tourismis down we believe that this is a state that will lead other states for Obama in a wave election. It will not be a large victory, but Nevada, for the first time since The Pindell Report debuted, is now considered leans Democratic.
October 20, 2008 - 12:02 pm — Leans Democratic — #4
Obama has a 5-point advantage in the latest Rasmussen Reports survey of the state. In the previous Rasmussen poll, released in early October, the Democrat led by 4 points, which was his first lead in the state since July.
October 17, 2008 - 12:18 pm — Toss up — #3
In the latest Zogby poll in Nevada, Obama and McCain are virtually tied, each drawing about 47 percent of the vote. In the previous Zogby survey, released in late September, McCain had an 8-point lead.
Biden is scheduled to appear in Henderson on Friday evening.
October 15, 2008 - 12:47 pm — Toss up — #3
Obama has a 3-point advantage in the latest InsiderAdvantage/Poll
Position survey of Nevada. He leads 49 percent to 46 percent.
October 14, 2008 - 12:21 pm — Toss up — #3
A new Politico/InsiderAdvantage survey shows Obama leading in Washoe County by a single point, 46 percent to 45 percent. Politico describes Washoe as a bellwether county that President Bush won in 2000 and 2004.
October 13, 2008 - 12:58 pm — Toss up — #3
The latest Las Vegas Review-Journal poll, conducted by Mason-Dixon, shows Obama with a slim lead within the margin of error, 47 percent to 45 percent. "It's still really, really close," Mason-Dixon managing partner Brad Coker said of the race for Nevada's five electoral votes. "Obama has a little bit of a lead, but it's not as wide as his lead in most of the national polls. Nevada's still very much a battleground, very close and very interesting." In the paper's previous poll, taken in August, McCain led 46 percent to 39 percent.
October 8, 2008 - 12:34 pm — Toss up — #3
Obama leads by a slim margin, 49 percent to 47 percent, in the latest InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position survey in Nevada. "We have seen very little real movement in Nevada from our last poll," said pollster Matt Towery. "Sen. Obama continues to perform well with men and independent voters who are the key 'swing groups' this time around in Nevada."
October 6, 2008 - 12:40 pm — Toss up — #5
Obama has passed McCain in the state's Rasmussen Reports survey for the first time. According to the poll, the Democrat leads 51 percent to 47 percent. A month ago, McCain was up by 3 points.
October 2, 2008 - 12:54 pm — Toss up — #6
A new InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position survey shows Obama leading by a single point in the state, 48 percent to 47 percent with a margin of error of 5 percent.
According to the latest CNN/Time Magazine/Opinion Research poll, Obama leads by 4 points in the state, 51 percent to 47 percent. In the previous poll, taken in late August, McCain had a slight lead.
September 30, 2008 - 12:05 pm — Toss up — #6
Obama is scheduled to hold a campaign event on the Quad at the University of Nevada at Reno on Tuesday.
September 25, 2008 - 12:42 pm — Toss up — #6
According to a recent New West poll, Obama has a slight advantage in the state, 47 percent to 45 percent with a 4 percent margin of error.
September 22, 2008 - 12:27 pm — Toss up — #6
According to a new Suffolk University poll, Obama and McCain are still neck and neck in the state, The Washington Times is reporting. The candidates are statistically tied: McCain has 46 percent and Obama has 45 percent.
September 18, 2008 - 1:04 pm — Toss up — #6
According to a University of Wisconsin Advertising Project study, McCain outspent Obama on television advertising in Nevada $356,000 to $297,000 between Sept. 6 and Sept. 13, The New York Times is reporting.
September 17, 2008 - 12:38 pm — Toss up — #6
Obama is scheduled to visit the state Wednesday, speaking at 11 a.m. in Elko and at a 5 p.m. rally at Cashman Field, according to the Las Vegas Review-Journal. In response, Republicans launched attack ads on English and Spanish radio that attempt to convince voters that the GOP ticket is the one that actually has the potential to effect change.
September 15, 2008 - 12:56 pm — Toss up — #6
Three recent polls have McCain leading Obama by varying margins, according to PolitickerNV.com. Zogby has McCain up 50.1 to 42.5, Rasmussen has McCain up 49 to 46 and InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position has McCain up by a single point.
September 15, 2008 - 10:32 am — Toss up — #1
Two new polls out show a shift to McCain in the Silver State and showing the race here still very fluid.
In mid-August Obama held a lead slightly outside the margin of error, but now McCain is up.
In a Rasmussen Poll conducted on Sept. 11, McCain held a three percentage point lead over Obama. An Insider Advantage/Poll Position poll conducted earlier last week gives McCain a one percent lead.
September 3, 2008 - 11:25 am — Toss up — #1
The LA Times has a report that fissure in Nevada's Republican Party may hurt presidential nominee McCain in November.
In January, U.S. Rep. Ron Paul (R-Texas) placed second in Nevada's Republican presidential and his anti-establishment message has played well in the Silver State. Paul supporters are fuming over a nasty battle that resulted in two sets of Nevada delegates vying to be seated at the convention.
August 19, 2008 - 2:54 pm — Toss up — #1
A pro-union political action group who call themselves "A Change to Win," is staging a series of public events around Nevada attacking McCain over the next several days, hitting the presumptive Republican presidential nominee on foreclosures, Yucca Mountain, and his support for Gov. Jim Gibbons (R) according to PolitickerNV.com
August 18, 2008 - 8:07 am — Toss up — #1
Obama spoke at Wooster High School in Reno on Sunday.
August 15, 2008 - 1:01 pm — Toss up — #1
Obama is scheduled to make a weekend campaign stop in Reno on Aug. 17. It will be the first visit by Obama to northern Nevada since U.S. Sen. Hillary Clinton conceded the Democratic presidential nomination.
August 14, 2008 - 1:13 pm — Toss up — #1
The Washington Post ran a feature, analyzing a series of recent events that appear to signify bad news for the GOP in Nevada. The piece focused prominently on Gov. Jim Gibbons' recent woes and the potential impact registration shifts in favor of Democrats might have on the presidential election in the state. President Bush locked up Nevada in each of the last two elections, and recent polls show McCain with a slight lead in the state.
August 14, 2008 - 2:12 am — Toss up — #1
The Obama campaign has launched a new ad attacking McCain's economic record and position on the Iraq war, PolitickerNV.com reports.
August 13, 2008 - 10:46 pm — Toss up — #1
A new Rasmussen poll shows McCain with a small lead over Obama in the Silver State. As PolitickerNV.com reports, McCain is up over Obama 45 percent to 42 percent. But that is within the survey's 4.5 percent margin of error.
August 11, 2008 - 4:25 pm — Toss up — #1
The Obama campaign has released a new TV spot that will air in the two biggest Nevada markets: Las Vegas and Reno. The ad hits McCain over the Republican's position on storing nuclear waste in Yucca Mountain as reported by CBS News.
McCain on Saturday vowed to improve medical care for America's military veterans if he is elected president as reported by Bloomberg News. He made a speech at a meeting for the Disabled American Veterans.
August 8, 2008 - 5:22 pm — Toss up — #1
Making a play for Hispanic votes in Nevada, Republican presidential candidate John McCain is preparing to roll out a coalition of Southern Nevada Hispanic supporters as reported in the Las Vegas Review Journal. The group will be formally announced Saturday in a news conference headlined by U.S. Secretary of Commerce Carlos Gutierrez. Gutierrez said in a phone interview Thursday that Hispanics can trust McCain because he knows their community and has championed their issues.
August 6, 2008 - 4:44 pm
U.S. Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-N.Y.) will stump on behalf of Obama on Friday at a Henderson high school, PolitickerNV.com reports.
August 5, 2008 - 2:48 pm
The Rocky Mountain News profiles Washoe County in the context of Nevada's role in the presidential race.
Among the things it finds in the county is an independent streak.
"
So independent are they that McCain came in third in the Nevada caucus - behind winner Mitt Romney and Libertarian hero Ron Paul."
August 5, 2008 - 12:20 pm
The Las Vegas Review Journal reported Republican presidential candidate John McCain will be back in Las Vegas this weekend to speak to the Disabled American Veterans at Ballys. McCain was in Nevada just last week hosting a town hall fundraiser. His Democratic opponent, Barack Obama, hasn't been to the state since late June. U.S. Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-N.Y.) will campaign in Nevada this Friday for Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama according to Politico.
August 1, 2008 - 8:33 am
Latino comedian George Lopez will stump for Obama at a voter registration drive in Las Vegas on Saturday.
July 31, 2008 - 3:38 pm
The Nevada supporters of U.S. Rep. Ron Paul (R-Texas) and those of U.S. Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) vow to take their fight to the Republican National Convention. In Nevada, at least, Paul's campaign has remained afloat despite McCain's lock on the nomination.
July 18, 2008 - 8:29 am
A Rasmussen poll shows Obama up by 2 points in Nevada over McCain, who has led Obama in three previous polls. Read more on PolitickerNV.com.