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America's most dynamic and deeply reported political forecast.
Last Updated: November 2, 2008
| Rank | Race | Incumbent | Status | Last Week | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | U.S. Senate: Minnesota | Norm Coleman (R) |  | Toss up | #1 | |
| 2 |  | U.S. Senate: Kentucky | Mitch McConnell (R) |  | Leans Republican | #2 | |
| 3 |  | U.S. Senate: Georgia | Saxby Chambliss (R) | | Leans Republican | #3 | |
| 4 |  | U.S. Senate: New Hampshire | John Sununu (R) |  | Leans Democratic | #4 | |
| 5 |  | U.S. Senate: Alaska | Ted Stevens (R) | | Leans Democratic | #5 | |
| 6 |  | U.S. Senate: Mississippi (Special) | Roger Wicker (R) | | Leans Republican | #6 | |
| 7 |  | U.S. Senate: Oregon | Gordon Smith (R) | | Leans Democratic | #7 | |
| 8 |  | U.S. Senate: North Carolina | Elizabeth Dole (R) | | Likely Democratic | #8 | |
| 9 |  | U.S. Senate: Texas | John Cornyn (R) | | Likely Republican | #9 | |
| 10 |  | U.S. Senate: Colorado | Wayne Allard (R) OPEN SEAT | | Likely Democratic | #10 | |
| 11 |  | U.S. Senate: Maine | Susan Collins (R) | | Safe Republican | #11 | |
| 12 |  | U.S. Senate: Louisiana | Mary Landrieu (D) | | Safe Democratic | #12 | |
| 13 |  | U.S. Senate: New Jersey | Frank Lautenberg (D) | | Safe Democratic | #13 | |
| 14 |  | U.S. Senate: Oklahoma | Jim Inhofe (R) | | Safe Republican | #14 | |
| 15 |  | U.S. Senate: Nebraska | Chuck Hagel (R) OPEN SEAT | | Safe Republican | #15 | |
| 16 |  | U.S. Senate: South Carolina | Lindsey Graham (R) | | Safe Republican | #16 | |
| 17 |  | U.S. Senate: Idaho | Larry Craig (R) OPEN SEAT | | Safe Republican | #17 | |
| 18 |  | U.S. Senate: New Mexico | Pete Domenici (R) OPEN SEAT | | Safe Democratic | #18 | |
| 19 |  | U.S. Senate: Tennessee | Lamar Alexander (R) | | Safe Republican | #19 | |
| 20 |  | U.S. Senate: West Virginia | Jay Rockefeller (D) | | Safe Democratic | #20 | |
| 21 |  | U.S. Senate: Michigan | Carl Levin (D) | | Safe Democratic | #21 | |
| 22 |  | U.S. Senate: South Dakota | Tim Johnson (D) | | Safe Democratic | #22 | |
| 23 |  | U.S. Senate: Iowa | Tom Harkin (D) | | Safe Democratic | #23 | |
| 24 |  | U.S. Senate: Wyoming (Special) | John Barrasso (R) | | Safe Republican | #24 | |
| 25 | | U.S. Senate: Mississippi | Thad Cochran (R) | | Safe Republican | #25 | |
| 26 |  | U.S. Senate: Kansas | Pat Roberts (R) | | Safe Republican | #26 | |
| 27 | | U.S. Senate: Wyoming | Mike Enzi (R) | | Safe Republican | #27 | |
| 28 |  | U.S. Senate: Virginia | John Warner (R) OPEN SEAT | | Safe Democratic | #28 | |
| 29 |  | U.S. Senate: Illinois | Dick Durbin (D) | | Safe Democratic | #29 | |
| 30 |  | U.S. Senate: Montana | Max Baucus (D) | | Safe Democratic | #30 | |
| 31 |  | U.S. Senate: Alabama | Jeff Sessions (R) | | Safe Republican | #31 | |
| 32 |  | U.S. Senate: Massachusetts | John Kerry (D) | | Safe Democratic | #32 | |
| 33 |  | U.S. Senate: Delaware | Joe Biden (D) | | Safe Democratic | #33 | |
| 34 |  | U.S. Senate: Rhode Island | Jack Reed (D) | | Safe Democratic | #34 | |
| 35 |  | U.S. Senate: Arkansas | Mark Pryor (D) | | Safe Democratic | #35 | |
Contributors
James Pindell
President-elect Barack Obama's decision to name Illinois Rep. Rahm Emanuel as his chief of staff means that Emanuel's role as House ... >
Reid Wilson
The dust has barely settled on the 2008 elections -- in fact, in a few Senate and House contests, ballots are still being counted -- but possible ... >
Rob Tornoe
To view a larger version of this cartoon, click here.
I’m off through November 24 for some much needed rest and relaxation. I'll be ... >
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Jason Horowitz - National
Just about every story written about Rahm Emanuel since Barack Obama selected him to serve as White House chief of staff has described him as the tough Chicago operative who became the consummate Washington insider. But how sensitive will the bulldog at Mr. Obama’s gate be to New York interests?
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Joe Conason - National
Nobody can doubt that the Republicans in the Senate will obstruct as soon as that seems politically safe. Right-wing pundits, from Rush Limbaugh to the Wall Street Journal editorial page are already egging them on furiously. But is there enough muscle behind that filibuster threat to block Mr. Obama’s mandate?
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Steve Kornacki - National
Something funny happened last week: A liberal Democrat from Chicago, running on a ticket with a liberal from Delaware, won the White House by a comfortable margin. And while Barack Obama did actually win three states in the South, his triumph should do away with the notion that a “Southern strategy” is essential to the Democratic Party’s long-term viability at the presidential level.
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