An internal campaign poll suggests that while she certainly has an uphill battle, Democratic challenger Sara Orozco could upset state Sen. Scott Brown if several things break her way.
Sara Orozco (D-Needham)Orozco's poll, made available to PolitickerMA.com Wednesday, shows that Orozco, of Needham, significantly trailing the Brown by 23 percent. However, when it looks deeper into the poll, the Orozco campaign sees a path to victory.
In the survey, Brown, of Wrentham, trounced Orozco in name recognition, 81.5 percent to 18.5 percent. Brown also had a strong favorability rating, 51.1 percent, compared to low unfavorability rating, 15.7 percent. More, nearly six in 10 respondents approved of Brown's job performance. Orozco's name recognition was only 18.5 percent with a favorability and unfavorability comparison of 6.7 to 4.7 percent. And, if the election were held at the time the poll was taken, Brown would have defeated Orozco 52.9 percent to 29.5 percent.
However, 45.3 percent of respondents said Brown deserves re-election while 22.5 percent opted for "someone else" and 32.3 percent were undecided, a statistic the Orozco camp believes leaves the door open to a challenger. Respondents also favored Democrat Barack Obama over Republican John McCain by nearly 20 points, 50.6 percent to 30.2 percent. Given the high turnout expected this year, the Orozco campaign expects many of those voters to break for Orozco.
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